Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 18 January 2024, Thursday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Sumit Nagal		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.86	1.48
	2.75	1.44
	2.86	1.43	Watch
	2.92	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.18)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
33.4%

Juncheng Shang
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumit Nagal's form might have worsened.

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juncheng Shang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juncheng Shang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Sumit Nagal - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Shang will win (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Nagal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shang is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shang to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Alexander Bublik - Sumit Nagal	0:3 ✺
11.01.24	Alex Molcan - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Edward Winter - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
09.01.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.01.24	Andrea Vavassori - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWL
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Australian Open
16.01.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Juncheng Shang	2:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.24	Andrey Rublev - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
05.01.24	Francis Tiafoe - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
03.01.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
01.01.24	Juncheng Shang - Laslo Djere	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLWWW

Sumit Nagal - Juncheng Shang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide