Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Sumit Nagal		Matej Dodig

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.19
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.14	Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	2.1 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
55.5%

Matej Dodig
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sumit Nagal - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Dodig will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 219. Dodig is ranked ATP: 208.

Nagal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dodig's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nagal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nagal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Nagal will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Sumit Nagal - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
27.06.26	Felix Balshaw - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Sumit Nagal - Cezar Cretu	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Sumit Nagal - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Benjamin Hassan - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 ?WWWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Matej Dodig - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Matej Dodig - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Matej Dodig	0:2

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