Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Tadeas Paroulek		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.23	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.85)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tadeas Paroulek
43.1%

Joel Schwaerzler
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tadeas Paroulek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tadeas Paroulek's form might have worsened.

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joel Schwaerzler's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tadeas Paroulek than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tadeas Paroulek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tadeas Paroulek - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Schwaerzler (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Schwaerzler (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paroulek is ranked ATP: 597. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 327.

Two players are playing changeable.

Schwaerzler could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tadeas Paroulek
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Matej Dodig - Tadeas Paroulek	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.25	Sandro Kopp - Tadeas Paroulek	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Tadeas Paroulek	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Eero Vasa - Tadeas Paroulek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWL
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Emilio Nava - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLWL

Tadeas Paroulek - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide