Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sarasota 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Joel Schwaerzler		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (4)	1.41 ↑ (1.22)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
33.6%

Mitchell Krueger
66.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.4%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitchell Krueger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Joel Schwaerzler - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 16 - 80%). Krueger will win (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 62.5% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Schwaerzler (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Krueger (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Schwaerzler will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Krueger (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 325. Krueger is ranked ATP: 141.

Recent matches Krueger is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krueger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Krueger is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Schwaerzler won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Daniel Cukierman	Schwaerzler J. J. retired ✺
04.03.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Zdenek Kolar - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Federico Coria - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 ?LLWL
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Mitchell Krueger - Patrick Zahraj	Zahraj P. retired ✺
29.03.25	Mitchell Krueger - Toby Alex Kodat	Kodat T. retired ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Mitchell Krueger - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 L??LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.04.24	Joel Schwaerzler - Mitchell Krueger	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Mitchell Krueger - Darwin Blanch	✺

Joel Schwaerzler - Mitchell Krueger