Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Takuya Kumasaka		Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.80
	1.30	3.20
	1.34	3.29
	1.40	2.74	Watch
	1.34	3.25	Watch
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.35	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)	3 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Takuya Kumasaka
68.9%

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Takuya Kumasaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Takuya Kumasaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Takuya Kumasaka - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 509. Turriziani Alvarez is ranked ATP: 756.

Kumasaka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Turriziani Alvarez has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Turriziani Alvarez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kumasaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Takuya Kumasaka
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Robin Bertrand - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Takuya Kumasaka	Canceled ✺
07.07.26	Alvaro Jimenez - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Naoya Honda	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Yuki Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 L?WLW
- Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Johan Nikles - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Leonid Sheyngezikht - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	Sheyngezikht L. Retired ✺
24.06.26	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Dillon Beckles	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Maxi Carrascosa Diaz	1:2 ✺
26.05.26	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 L?LLL

Takuya Kumasaka - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide