Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe (Japan) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Takuya Kumasaka		Kris van Wyk

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2
	1.7	2.03
	1.65	2.19
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.07	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.45)	2.09 ↓ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Takuya Kumasaka
55.4%

Kris van Wyk
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Takuya Kumasaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Takuya Kumasaka's form might have worsened.

Kris van Wyk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kris van Wyk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Takuya Kumasaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kris van Wyk than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kris van Wyk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Takuya Kumasaka - Kris van Wyk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kumasaka will win (votes: 2 - 40%). van Wyk will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 488. van Wyk is ranked ATP: 355.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

van Wyk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kumasaka will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kumasaka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	Kokoro Isomura - Takuya Kumasaka	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
28.10.24	Omar Jasika - Takuya Kumasaka	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Zura Tkemaladze	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Jesse Delaney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWW
- Kris van Wyk
ATP Challenger
02.11.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
28.10.24	Kris van Wyk - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Kris van Wyk - Suk Ann	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Kris van Wyk - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.11.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Kris van Wyk	2:0

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