Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SHENZHEN 3 (CHINA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Tao Mu		Tomohiro Masabayashi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.2
	1.3	3.2
	1.31	3.26
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	3.15 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tao Mu
70.5%

Tomohiro Masabayashi
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tao Mu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tao Mu's performance.

Tomohiro Masabayashi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomohiro Masabayashi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tao Mu than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tao Mu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomohiro Masabayashi than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomohiro Masabayashi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Mu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Masabayashi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mu will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tao Mu
ATP Shanghai
02.10.23	Tao Mu - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.23	Tao Mu - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.23	Tao Mu - Aoran Wang	1:2 ✺
06.09.23	Tao Mu - Yan Bai	1:2 ✺
04.09.23	Matthew Christopher Romios - Tao Mu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Tomohiro Masabayashi
ITF Tournaments
14.09.23	Tomohiro Masabayashi - Yuki Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
11.09.23	Keisuke Saitoh - Tomohiro Masabayashi	0:2 ✺
06.09.23	Tomohiro Masabayashi - Daisuke Sumizawa	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Keisuke Saitoh - Tomohiro Masabayashi	1:2 ✺
23.08.23	Ergi Kirkin - Tomohiro Masabayashi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL

Tao Mu - Tomohiro Masabayashi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide