Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovenia	Sportklub
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Taro Daniel		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	2.13	1.79
	1.88	1.88	Watch
			Watch
	2.02	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.33)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
47.6%

Alexander Shevchenko
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taro Daniel's performance.

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Shevchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.6%	0%	77.4%

Taro Daniel - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Shevchenko will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Shevchenko will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Daniel is ranked ATP: 168. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 96.

Daniel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Shevchenko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Daniel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Shevchenko - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.99%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Chengdu
20.09.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Taro Daniel - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Taro Daniel - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	James Duckworth - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Marat Sharipov - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWWL
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Chengdu
20.09.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Gael Monfils	Monfils G. retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Soon Woo Kwon - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Hyeon Chung - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 W??WL

Taro Daniel - Alexander Shevchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide