Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: LOS CABOS (MEXICO), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday


	Taro Daniel		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3	1.38	Watch
	3.11	1.41
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.17)	1.4 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
31.9%

Marcos Giron
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taro Daniel's form might have worsened.

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcos Giron's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taro Daniel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcos Giron, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	0%	64%

Taro Daniel - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Daniel will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Giron will win (votes: 16 - 64%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giron: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Daniel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Giron is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Daniel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Giron will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Daniel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
13.02.24	James Duckworth - Taro Daniel	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.24	Taro Daniel - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
05.02.24	Taro Daniel - Constant Lestienne	Daniel T. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Christopher Eubanks - Taro Daniel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 L?L?L
- Marcos Giron
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Marcos Giron - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
14.02.24	Adrian Mannarino - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Marcos Giron - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
11.02.24	Marcos Giron - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
23.02.20	Taro Daniel - Marcos Giron	1:2

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