Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DALLAS (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 February 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Taro Daniel		Constant Lestienne

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.38
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.64	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	2.31 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
58.7%

Constant Lestienne
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taro Daniel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Constant Lestienne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29%	0%	71%

Taro Daniel - Constant Lestienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Daniel will win (votes: 9 - 29%). Lestienne will win (votes: 22 - 71%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lestienne: 55% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Daniel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lestienne is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Daniel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Christopher Eubanks - Taro Daniel	3:0 ✺
ATP Auckland
12.01.24	Taro Daniel - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
11.01.24	Ben Shelton - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Alexandre Muller - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
09.01.24	Taro Daniel - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWWW
- Constant Lestienne
ATP Montpellier
01.02.24	Constant Lestienne - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
31.01.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.01.24	Billy Harris - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Constant Lestienne - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
06.01.24	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Taro Daniel - Constant Lestienne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide