Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Taro Daniel		Raul Brancaccio

	1	2
			Watch
	3.15	1.31
	3.1	1.33	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.25)	1.33 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
30.3%

Raul Brancaccio
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taro Daniel's form might have worsened.

Raul Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raul Brancaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taro Daniel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raul Brancaccio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taro Daniel - Raul Brancaccio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Daniel is ranked ATP: 335. Brancaccio is ranked ATP: 240.

Daniel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Brancaccio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brancaccio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Taro Daniel - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Raul Brancaccio - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Taro Daniel - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Taro Daniel - Jun Ha Hyun	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Taro Daniel - Patrick Zahraj	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Taro Daniel - Duck Hee Lee	Lee D. H. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLW?
- Raul Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Raul Brancaccio - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Marco Cecchinato - Raul Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Jay Clarke - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Raul Brancaccio - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Jonas Forejtek - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWL

Taro Daniel - Raul Brancaccio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide