Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Guadalajara (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday


	Tatjana Maria		Kayla Day

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.66	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.66	2.16	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.44)	2.18 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
57%

Kayla Day
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tatjana Maria's form might have worsened.

Kayla Day has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kayla Day's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tatjana Maria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kayla Day, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Tatjana Maria - Kayla Day Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Day will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maria: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Maria is ranked WTA: 99. Day is ranked WTA: 164.

Recent matches Maria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Day is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Maria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
WTA US Open
28.08.24	Tatjana Maria - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Tatjana Maria - Solana Sierra	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
20.08.24	Xiyu Wang - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.24	Tatjana Maria - Nadia Podoroska	1:2 ✺
16.08.24	Tatjana Maria - Antonia Ruzic	Ruzic A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLL?
- Kayla Day
WTA US Open
20.08.24	Julieta Pareja - Kayla Day	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.08.24	Kayla Day - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
05.08.24	Moyuka Uchijima - Kayla Day	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Kayla Day - Rebeka Masarova	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.07.24	Kayla Day - Clervie Ngounoue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.06.17	Tatjana Maria - Kayla Day	2:0
03.02.17	Kayla Day - Tatjana Maria	0:2

Tatjana Maria - Kayla Day: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide