Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: FLORENCE (ITALY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday


	Taylor Townsend		Sara Errani

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.9
	1.25	4
	1.24	4.27
	1.3	3.4
	1.18	4.65	Watch
	1.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)	4.03 ↑ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Townsend
76.4%

Sara Errani
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Townsend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylor Townsend's performance.

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Errani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Townsend than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taylor Townsend that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Errani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Taylor Townsend - Sara Errani Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Townsend will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Errani will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Townsend: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Townsend is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Errani is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Errani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Townsend is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Townsend
ATP Challenger
19.05.23	Matilde Paoletti - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
17.05.23	Taylor Townsend - Ana Bogdan	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Taylor Townsend - Ana Konjuh	Konjuh A. retired ✺
WTA Roma
13.05.23	Xiyu Wang - Taylor Townsend	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Taylor Townsend - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WW?LW
- Sara Errani
ATP Challenger
19.05.23	Sara Errani - Eugenie Bouchard	Bouchard E. retired ✺
18.05.23	Sara Errani - Ankita Raina	2:1 ✺
17.05.23	Sara Errani - Lisa Pigato	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.23	Danka Kovinic - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?WWLL

Taylor Townsend - Sara Errani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide