Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 10 May 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: ROME (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	22:10	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:10	SportKlub
Croatia	14:10	SportKlub
Czech Republic	14:10	O2 TV Tenis
France	14:10	beIN Sports
Portugal	13:10	Eleven Sports
Romania	15:10	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	14:10	SportKlub
Slovenia	14:10	SportKlub
Ukraine	15:10	Setanta Sports


	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova		Sara Errani

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.62	2.3
	1.61	2.31
	1.64	2.39
	1.62	2.3
	1.59	2.36	Watch
	1.58	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.9)	2.33 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
59.3%

Sara Errani
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova's performance.

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Errani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Errani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Sara Errani Predictions

Users Predictions: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pavlyuchenkova won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pavlyuchenkova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pavlyuchenkova will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pavlyuchenkova won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
WTA Madrid
28.04.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
26.04.23	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.04.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Andrea Gamiz - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
30.03.23	Lucia Bronzetti - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL
- Sara Errani
WTA Madrid
26.04.23	Danka Kovinic - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Sara Errani - Jodie Anna Burrage	2:1 ✺
24.04.23	Sara Errani - Kristina Mladenovic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.04.23	Sara Errani - Rebeka Masarova	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Sara Errani - Olivia Gadecki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Olympic Games
23.07.21	Sara Errani - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2
WTA Rabat
05.05.17	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Sara Errani	2:0
WTA Madrid
05.05.15	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Sara Errani	2:1
WTA Paris
02.02.14	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Sara Errani	2:1

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Sara Errani