Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Andrei R. (Rou)


	Thanasi Kokkinakis		Gregoire Barrere

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.52
	1.55	2.52
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.55	2.37	Watch
	1.51	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)	2.45 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thanasi Kokkinakis
61.7%

Gregoire Barrere
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thanasi Kokkinakis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thanasi Kokkinakis's performance.

Gregoire Barrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gregoire Barrere might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thanasi Kokkinakis than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thanasi Kokkinakis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gregoire Barrere could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Users Predictions: Thanasi Kokkinakis will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Kokkinakis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kokkinakis will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kokkinakis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Bucharest
17.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.24	Zizou Bergs - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Gabriel Diallo - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
11.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Thanasi Kokkinakis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW
- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Bucharest
20.04.24	Mariano Navone - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
19.04.24	Sebastian Korda - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Lucas Pouille	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bucharest
17.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0
ATP Challenger
03.09.21	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Gregoire Barrere	2:1
15.08.18	Gregoire Barrere - Thanasi Kokkinakis	Barrere G. walkover

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Gregoire Barrere: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide