Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Costa do Sauipe, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Costa do Sauipe 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Alex Barrena

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.39	3.06
	1.33	3.11	Watch
	1.39	2.87	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	2.96 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
68.3%

Alex Barrena
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alex Barrena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Barrena will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 100. Barrena is ranked ATP: 170.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barrena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tirante might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tirante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Alex Barrena - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	Canceled ✺
28.09.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Alex Barrena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
03.02.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alex Barrena	2:0

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alex Barrena