Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Alex Barrena		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.96
	1.75	2.00	Watch
	1.82	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
51.3%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Alex Barrena - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guillen Meza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alvaro Guillen Meza will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 188. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 226.

Barrena is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guillen Meza is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Guillen Meza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barrena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Barrena - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Alex Barrena - Hugo Dellien	Dellien H. retired ✺
23.09.25	Alex Barrena - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Emilio Nava - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W?WLW
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Hady Habib - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.02.25	Alex Barrena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Alex Barrena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2

Alex Barrena - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide