Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City (Mexico), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Referee: Munno F. (Bra)


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.58
	1.32	3.58
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.18	Watch
	1.34	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.49)	3.34 ↑ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
71.7%

Bernard Tomic
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Augustin Tirante's performance.

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Augustin Tirante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tomic will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Tirante is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tomic is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tirante will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tirante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
05.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
05.04.24	Skander Mansouri - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Bernard Tomic - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Bernard Tomic - Denis Kudla	Tomic B. retired ✺
27.03.24	Bernard Tomic - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.03.23	Bernard Tomic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Bernard Tomic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide