Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PUNTA DEL ESTE (URUGUAY), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.75	2.17
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.75	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	2.07 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
54.7%

Gianluca Mager
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mager will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mager: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tirante is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mager is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tirante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
27.01.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Tirante T. A. walkover ✺
26.01.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
22.01.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?WWWL
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
27.01.24	Gianluca Mager - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
26.01.24	Gianluca Mager - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Francisco Comesana - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
23.01.24	Gianluca Mager - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
22.01.24	Carlos Taberner - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWW

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide