Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ALICANTE (SPAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Moez Echargui

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.88	1.85
	1.93	1.91
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.79	1.95	Watch
	1.77	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.54)	1.91 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
51.1%

Moez Echargui
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Augustin Tirante's form might have worsened.

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moez Echargui's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moez Echargui, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Moez Echargui Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Augustin Tirante will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

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Preview

Tirante in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Echargui is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tirante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tirante will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tirante to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
01.10.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gustavo Heide	Tirante T. A. walkover ✺
30.09.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Blaise Bicknell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ?WWWW
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
02.10.23	Moez Echargui - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Moez Echargui - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
27.09.23	Joao Sousa - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
25.09.23	Salvatore Caruso - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Jeremy Jahn - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW

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