Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Poprad (Slovakia), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday


	Thiago Cigarran		Jakub Filip

	1	2
	1.78	1.89
	1.79	1.91
	1.8	1.91
	1.8	1.92	Watch
	1.76	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.59)	1.91 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Cigarran
51.7%

Jakub Filip
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Cigarran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Cigarran's form might have worsened.

Jakub Filip has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jakub Filip's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Cigarran than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Cigarran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Filip than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jakub Filip, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Thiago Cigarran - Jakub Filip Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cigarran is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Filip is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Filip could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cigarran will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Cigarran
ITF Tournaments
24.07.24	Volodymyr Iakubenko - Thiago Cigarran	Iakubenko V. retired ✺
18.07.24	Dan Alexandru Tomescu - Thiago Cigarran	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Dominic Ducariu - Thiago Cigarran	Ducariu D. retired ✺
11.07.24	Niccolo Ciavarella - Thiago Cigarran	2:0 ✺
10.07.24	Thiago Cigarran - Nikola Puntaric	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?L?LW
- Jakub Filip
ITF Tournaments
23.07.24	Jakub Filip - Peter Fajta	Canceled ✺
10.07.24	Jakub Filip - Alessio Vasquez Gehrke	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Jakub Filip - Mariano Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
19.06.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Jakub Filip	2:0 ✺
30.05.24	Matyas Cerny - Jakub Filip	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLLL

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