Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Thiago Cigarran		Valentin Basel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.46
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)	2.37 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Cigarran
60.6%

Valentin Basel
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Cigarran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Valentin Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Cigarran than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Cigarran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Basel than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentin Basel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Thiago Cigarran - Valentin Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cigarran will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Basel will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cigarran (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cigarran is ranked ATP: 846. Basel is ranked ATP: 1112.

Cigarran has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Basel's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Basel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cigarran could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cigarran won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Cigarran
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Thiago Cigarran - Facundo Martin Martinez Morel	2:0
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Thiago Cigarran - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Cigarran T. retired ✺
11.03.26	Thiago Cigarran - Enzo Camargo Lima	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Thiago Cigarran	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Thiago Cigarran	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W?WLL
- Valentin Basel
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Alexander Baez - Valentin Basel	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Valentin Basel - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Valentin Basel - Ben Jones	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Stefan Dostanic - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.03.24	Valentin Basel - Thiago Cigarran	0:2

Thiago Cigarran - Valentin Basel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide