Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Thiago Monteiro		David Jorda Sanchis

	1	2
	1.50	2.50	Watch
	1.44	2.60
	1.55	2.38
	1.48	2.79
	1.48	2.48	Watch
	1.46	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.48	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.78)	2.56 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
63.3%

David Jorda Sanchis
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Monteiro's performance.

David Jorda Sanchis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and David Jorda Sanchis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Monteiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Jorda Sanchis than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that David Jorda Sanchis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Thiago Monteiro - David Jorda Sanchis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Jorda Sanchis will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 303. Jorda Sanchis is ranked ATP: 188.

Monteiro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jorda Sanchis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jorda Sanchis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monteiro could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

David Jorda Sanchis - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.24%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Alberto Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Philip Henning - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Flynn Thomas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW
- David Jorda Sanchis
ATP Estoril
18.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Max Houkes - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - David Jorda Sanchis	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Felix Balshaw - David Jorda Sanchis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW

Thiago Monteiro - David Jorda Sanchis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide