Match Info

Date: 25 February 2020, Tuesday


	Thiago Monteiro		Leonardo Mayer

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.64	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.23
	1.66	2.35
	1.62	2.3
	1.61	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.76)	2.29 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
58.7%

Leonardo Mayer
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Leonardo Mayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Monteiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonardo Mayer than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonardo Mayer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Thiago Monteiro - Leonardo Mayer Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (112 of 128 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.77% – 93.23%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.20	Thiago Monteiro - Attila Balazs	1:2 ✺
18.02.20	Guido Pella - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.20	Thiago Monteiro - Pedro Sousa	0:2 ✺
12.02.20	Borna Coric - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
10.02.20	Jaume Munar - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- Leonardo Mayer
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.20	Leonardo Mayer - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.20	Leonardo Mayer - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
04.02.20	Leonardo Mayer - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.20	Leonardo Mayer - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
14.01.20	Leonardo Mayer - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
11.01.20	Thiago Monteiro - Leonardo Mayer	2:1
ATP Challenger
14.10.16	Thiago Monteiro - Leonardo Mayer	0:2

Thiago Monteiro - Leonardo Mayer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide