Match Info

Date: 5 April 2022, Tuesday


	Thomas Fabbiano		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.65	2.07
	1.67	2.21
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.78	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.61)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thomas Fabbiano
54.3%

Jelle Sels
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thomas Fabbiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thomas Fabbiano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Thomas Fabbiano - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fabbiano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sels is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fabbiano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thomas Fabbiano
ATP Challenger
28.03.22	Thomas Fabbiano - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.22	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Thomas Fabbiano	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.22	Mikhail Kukushkin - Thomas Fabbiano	2:0 ✺
14.03.22	John-Patrick Smith - Thomas Fabbiano	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.22	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Thomas Fabbiano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
28.03.22	Evan Furness - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
24.03.22	Jurij Rodionov - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
23.03.22	Jelle Sels - Daniel Masur	2:1 ✺
21.03.22	Jelle Sels - Michail Pervolarakis	2:0 ✺
20.03.22	Jelle Sels - Maximilian Neuchrist	Sels J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.03.22	Jelle Sels - Thomas Fabbiano	2:1
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.19	Jelle Sels - Thomas Fabbiano	0:2

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