Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aix en Provence 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Thomas Faurel		David Goffin

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.47	1.66
	2.25	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.7)	1.6 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thomas Faurel
41.2%

David Goffin
58.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thomas Faurel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thomas Faurel's performance.

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and David Goffin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thomas Faurel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that David Goffin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Thomas Faurel - David Goffin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Goffin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: David Goffin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Faurel is ranked ATP: 417. Goffin is ranked ATP: 236.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Faurel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Goffin is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

David Goffin - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.69%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thomas Faurel
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Thomas Faurel - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Robin Bertrand - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Tyler Zink - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Gabor Hornung - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW
- David Goffin
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Emilio Nava - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	David Goffin - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ignacio Buse - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLL

Thomas Faurel - David Goffin