Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Tiago Cacao		Goncalo Marques

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.66	2.08
	1.78	2.07
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.75	2.04
	1.71	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.19)	2.02 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Cacao
53.9%

Goncalo Marques
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Cacao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiago Cacao's performance.

Goncalo Marques has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goncalo Marques might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Cacao than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiago Cacao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goncalo Marques than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goncalo Marques could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tiago Cacao - Goncalo Marques Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cacao is ranked ATP: 676. Marques is ranked ATP: 1035.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Cacao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cacao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Cacao
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Tiago Cacao - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Francisco Rocha - Tiago Cacao	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Benjamin Gusic Wan - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Billy Blaydes - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Giulio Perego - Tiago Cacao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW
- Goncalo Marques
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Dan Added - Goncalo Marques	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Robin Bertrand - Goncalo Marques	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Andrea Colombo - Goncalo Marques	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Goncalo Marques - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Goncalo Marques - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.07.26	Tiago Cacao - Goncalo Marques	2:1
05.05.26	Tiago Cacao - Goncalo Marques	1:2

Tiago Cacao - Goncalo Marques: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide