Match Info

Date: 22 April 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Tiago Cacao		Oleksandr Ovcharenko

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Tiago Cacao
42.5%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Cacao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Cacao than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Ovcharenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cacao will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Cacao
ITF Tournaments
20.04.21	Tiago Cacao - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
14.04.21	Andrea Basso - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.21	Goncalo Oliveira - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
08.04.21	Mischa Zverev - Tiago Cacao	1:2 ✺
06.04.21	Tiago Cacao - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLLWW
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
21.04.21	Gianmarco Ferrari - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
27.03.21	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
26.03.21	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Davide Galoppini	2:1 ✺
25.03.21	Sebastian Prechtel - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
24.03.21	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Tiago Cacao - Oleksandr Ovcharenko