Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vale do Lobo 3 (Portugal), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 November 2024, Thursday


	Tiago Pereira		Andrin Casanova

	1	2
	1.22	3.75
	1.24	3.55
	1.22	3.89
	1.24	3.62	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.27	3.46	Watch
	1.24	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.44)	3.62 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
74.4%

Andrin Casanova
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiago Pereira's performance.

Andrin Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrin Casanova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiago Pereira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrin Casanova than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrin Casanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 534. Casanova is ranked ATP: 1262.

Recent matches Pereira is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Casanova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pereira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pereira is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
20.11.24	Tiago Pereira - Harry Thursfield	2:0 ✺
13.11.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Kimmer Coppejans - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Filip Krolo - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
06.11.24	Sven Corbinais - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW
- Andrin Casanova
ITF Tournaments
19.11.24	Andrin Casanova - Diogo Marques	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Andrin Casanova - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Andrin Casanova - Diogo Marques	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Andrin Casanova	1:2 ✺
12.11.24	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Andrin Casanova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Elmer Moller - Tiago Pereira	✺

Tiago Pereira - Andrin Casanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide