Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Tiago Pereira		Gastao Elias

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.79	2.14
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	2.07 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
54.9%

Gastao Elias
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiago Pereira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gastao Elias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Tiago Pereira - Gastao Elias Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Elias will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 304. Elias is ranked ATP: 589.

Pereira has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Elias is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pereira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Pereira will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pereira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Gastao Elias - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
10.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Joao Dinis Silva	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Rodrigo Leal	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Esteban Talavera Cortes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Gastao Elias
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Gastao Elias - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Gastao Elias - Carles Rojas	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	John Echeverria - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Ajeet Rai - Gastao Elias	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Gastao Elias - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.03.25	Tiago Pereira - Gastao Elias	2:1

Tiago Pereira - Gastao Elias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide