Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Quinta Do Lago, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Tiago Pereira		Justin Boulais

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.66	2.25
	1.56	1.92	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.61	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.94)	2.13 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
56.9%

Justin Boulais
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiago Pereira's performance.

Justin Boulais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Justin Boulais might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Boulais than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Tiago Pereira - Justin Boulais Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 305. Boulais is ranked ATP: 419.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Boulais may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pereira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Tiago Pereira - Michael Zhu	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Tiago Pereira - Gavin Young	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Tiago Pereira - Ajeet Rai	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Zsombor Piros - Tiago Pereira	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WW?L?
- Justin Boulais
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Goncalo Marques - Justin Boulais	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Joao Dinis Silva - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Justin Boulais - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Justin Boulais - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Fajing Sun - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.03.25	Tiago Pereira - Justin Boulais	0:2

Tiago Pereira - Justin Boulais: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide