Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 9, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Tiago Pereira		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.71	2.09
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.68	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)	2.04 ↓ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
54.5%

Lorenzo Carboni
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Carboni's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tiago Pereira - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carboni (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 280. Carboni is ranked ATP: 425.

Pereira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carboni is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carboni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pereira will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Carboni - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
07.11.25	Robin Bertrand - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
06.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Tiago Pereira - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Tiago Cacao - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL
- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
07.11.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Branko Djuric	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Dali Blanch - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Hugo Cardinaud - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Arthur Gea - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Sean Cuenin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW

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