Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monastir, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Tiago Pereira		Pedro Vives Marcos

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.1	1.69	Watch
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.68)	1.63 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
43%

Pedro Vives Marcos
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.

Pedro Vives Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Vives Marcos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Vives Marcos than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Vives Marcos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tiago Pereira - Pedro Vives Marcos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Vives Marcos will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vives Marcos (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 282. Vives Marcos is ranked ATP: 497.

In recent matches, Pereira has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vives Marcos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pereira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Tiago Cacao - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Jose Freitas - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Eric Vanshelboim - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Toby Martin - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Igor Kudriashov - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW
- Pedro Vives Marcos
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Alexandr Binda - Pedro Vives Marcos	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Omar Knani - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Denis Yevseyev - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Eero Vasa - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW

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