Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ceuta (Spain), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 December 2024, Friday


	Tiago Pereira		Vladyslav Orlov

	1	2
	2.3	1.53
	2.18	1.58
	2.06	1.73
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.24	1.59	Watch
	2.18	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.9)	1.62 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
42.8%

Vladyslav Orlov
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.

Vladyslav Orlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vladyslav Orlov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vladyslav Orlov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tiago Pereira - Vladyslav Orlov Predictions

Users Predictions: Vladyslav Orlov will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 532. Orlov is ranked ATP: 614.

Recent matches Pereira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Orlov is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Orlov to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
12.12.24	Tiago Pereira - Andres Fernandez Canovas	2:0 ✺
11.12.24	Tiago Pereira - Rayane Oumaouche	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.11.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Tiago Pereira - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.11.24	Tiago Pereira - John Echeverria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWL
- Vladyslav Orlov
ITF Tournaments
12.12.24	Ignasi Forcano - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
10.12.24	Alexis Canter - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Vladyslav Orlov - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

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