Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monastir 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tian Jialin		Milana Zhabrailova

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Tian Jialin
44.5%

Milana Zhabrailova
55.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tian Jialin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tian Jialin's performance.

Milana Zhabrailova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milana Zhabrailova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tian Jialin than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milana Zhabrailova than the current prediction. (+3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Jialin is ranked WTA: 674. Zhabrailova is ranked WTA: 708.

Recent performances by Jialin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zhabrailova is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jialin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zhabrailova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Zhabrailova will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tian Jialin
ITF Tournaments
13.01.26	Polina Kuharenko - Tian Jialin	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Yasmin Ezzat - Tian Jialin	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Selya Rakki - Tian Jialin	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Sera Nishimoto - Tian Jialin	0:2 ✺
25.12.25	Tian Jialin - Ran Wakana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Milana Zhabrailova
ITF Tournaments
14.01.26	Milana Zhabrailova - Sarah Van Emst	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Carolyn Ansari - Milana Zhabrailova	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Yujia Huang - Milana Zhabrailova	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Milana Zhabrailova - Yasmine Mansouri	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Milana Zhabrailova - Yiru Chen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW

Tian Jialin - Milana Zhabrailova