Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - Final

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Timo Legout		Braden Shick

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.96	1.81	Watch
	1.92	1.95
	1.84	1.89	Watch
	1.89	1.93	Watch
	1.86	1.82	Watch
	1.84	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.98)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timo Legout
49.9%

Braden Shick
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timo Legout has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Braden Shick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timo Legout than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timo Legout that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braden Shick than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braden Shick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Timo Legout - Braden Shick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Legout is ranked ATP: 961. Shick is ranked ATP: 325.

Legout is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shick's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timo Legout
ATP Challenger
04.07.26	Timo Legout - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Timo Legout - Ozan Baris	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Rei Sakamoto - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Timo Legout - Blaise Bicknell	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Andrew Fenty - Timo Legout	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWL
- Braden Shick
ATP Challenger
04.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Braden Shick	Shick B. Walkover ✺
03.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Braden Shick - Dhakshineswar Suresh	Suresh D. Retired ✺
30.06.26	Fajing Sun - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Andrew Fenty - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 ?W?WL

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