Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Fajing Sun		Braden Shick

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.80
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.90	1.93
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.88	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.83	Watch
	1.86	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.7)	1.86 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
49.7%

Braden Shick
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Braden Shick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fajing Sun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braden Shick than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braden Shick, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fajing Sun - Braden Shick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 261. Shick is ranked ATP: 330.

Sun has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shick's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shick may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Fajing Sun - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Fajing Sun - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Fajing Sun - Dakotah Bobo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Jesper De Jong - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Fajing Sun - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL
- Braden Shick
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Andrew Fenty - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Duncan Chan - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	William Manning - Braden Shick	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Liam Draxl - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Braden Shick - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW

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