Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sioux Falls 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Timo Legout		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.33	1.57	Watch
	2.54	1.45	Watch
	2.60	1.50
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.08)	1.48 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timo Legout
37.2%

Valentin Royer
62.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timo Legout has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Timo Legout's form might have worsened.

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Royer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timo Legout than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Timo Legout - Valentin Royer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Legout is ranked ATP: 343., and Royer is ranked ATP: 117..

Legout has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Royer has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Royer could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.76%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timo Legout
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Timo Legout - Andrew Fenty	2:1 ✺
25.10.26	Timo Legout - Daniel De Jonge	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Jenson Brooksby - Timo Legout	2:0 ✺
19.10.26	Edward Winter - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.10.26	Zsombor Velcz - Timo Legout	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Valentin Royer
ATP Lyon
18.10.26	Valentin Royer - Clement Tabur	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Mathys Erhard - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Daniel Vallejo - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Sebastian Dominko - Valentin Royer	✺

Timo Legout - Valentin Royer