Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Shenzhen, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shenzhen 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Timofei Derepasko		Linang Xiao

	1	2
	1.72	2.00
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.78	1.93
	1.77	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofei Derepasko
51.8%

Linang Xiao
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofei Derepasko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Linang Xiao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofei Derepasko than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofei Derepasko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linang Xiao than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Linang Xiao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Timofei Derepasko - Linang Xiao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Derepasko is ranked ATP: 609., and Xiao is ranked ATP: 1064..

In recent outings, Derepasko has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Xiao is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Derepasko may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Timofei Derepasko - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofei Derepasko
ITF Tournaments
21.10.26	Timofei Derepasko - Kristjan Tamm	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Timofei Derepasko - Isaac Becroft	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Timofei Derepasko - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Timofei Derepasko - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Sergey Fomin - Timofei Derepasko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWW
- Linang Xiao
ITF Tournaments
20.10.26	Weiyi Kong - Linang Xiao	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Linang Xiao - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Linang Xiao	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Colin Sinclair - Linang Xiao	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Linang Xiao - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofei Derepasko
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Hiroki Moriya - Timofei Derepasko	✺
- Linang Xiao
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Linang Xiao - Jie Cui	✺

Timofei Derepasko - Linang Xiao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide