Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 3 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Timofei Derepasko		Taiyo Yamanaka

	1	2
	1.60	2.15
	1.64	2.13
	1.67	2.25
	1.65	2.09	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.48)	2.15 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofei Derepasko
56.8%

Taiyo Yamanaka
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofei Derepasko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Timofei Derepasko's form might have worsened.

Taiyo Yamanaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taiyo Yamanaka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofei Derepasko than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Timofei Derepasko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taiyo Yamanaka than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taiyo Yamanaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Timofei Derepasko - Taiyo Yamanaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Derepasko is ranked ATP: 680. Yamanaka is ranked ATP: 830.

Recent performances by Derepasko have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yamanaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Derepasko could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofei Derepasko
ATP Challenger
05.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Minhthien Nguyen	2:0
ITF Tournaments
21.08.26	Timofei Derepasko - Dimitar Kisimov	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Timofei Derepasko - Alessandro Bellifemine	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Timofei Derepasko - Egor Shcherbakov	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Sean Cuenin - Timofei Derepasko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- Taiyo Yamanaka
ATP Challenger
05.09.26	Nikita Ianin - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Taiyo Yamanaka - Shinji Hazawa	Yamanaka T. Retired ✺
11.08.26	Weiyi Kong - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Taiyo Yamanaka - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Taiyo Yamanaka - Sergey Petrov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 W?WLW

Timofei Derepasko - Taiyo Yamanaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide