Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos (Greece), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Timofey Skatov		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.62	2.33
	1.6	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.59	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	2.25 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
58.5%

Dennis Novak
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Timofey Skatov - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: Dennis Novak will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 182. Novak is ranked ATP: 366.

Two players are playing changeable.

Novak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Skatov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Skatov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Jiri Vesely	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Timofey Skatov - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Timofey Skatov - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Billy Harris - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Aslan Karatsev - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.02.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Massimo Giunta - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Dennis Novak - Blake Mott	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.03.24	Dennis Novak - Timofey Skatov	1:2

Timofey Skatov - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide