Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Salzburg (Austria), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Referee: Svjetlanovic S. (Bih)


	Timofey Skatov		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.92	1.42
	2.79	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	1.56	2.2	Watch
	1.5	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.88)	1.66 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
40.7%

Thiago Monteiro
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofey Skatov's performance.

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thiago Monteiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Monteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	0%	95.7%

Timofey Skatov - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monteiro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Skatov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monteiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Skatov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	David Pichler - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Timofey Skatov - Gabriel Debru	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
05.07.24	Timofey Skatov - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
04.07.24	Timofey Skatov - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Blaz Rola - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Alexei Popyrin - Thiago Monteiro	3:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.24	Thiago Monteiro - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Thiago Monteiro - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Thiago Monteiro - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.03.22	Thiago Monteiro - Timofey Skatov	2:1
19.11.21	Thiago Monteiro - Timofey Skatov	2:1

Timofey Skatov - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide