Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Titouan Droguet		Moez Echargui

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.67	2.29
	1.71	2.06	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.42)	2.21 ↓ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Titouan Droguet
57.6%

Moez Echargui
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Titouan Droguet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Titouan Droguet's form might have worsened.

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moez Echargui's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Titouan Droguet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moez Echargui, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Titouan Droguet - Moez Echargui Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Droguet will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Echargui will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Droguet is ranked ATP: 163. Echargui is ranked ATP: 175.

Recent performances by Droguet have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Echargui is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Droguet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Droguet could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Droguet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Titouan Droguet
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Titouan Droguet - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Titouan Droguet - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Cannon Kingsley - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Matteo Martineau - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Arthur Fery - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Moez Echargui - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Olle Wallin - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Leo Borg - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Moez Echargui - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.01.23	Moez Echargui - Titouan Droguet	2:1
ITF Tournaments
09.03.22	Titouan Droguet - Moez Echargui	2:0

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