Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Moez Echargui

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2	1.83
	1.92	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.96	1.77	Watch
	1.92	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.12)	1.78 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
47.6%

Moez Echargui
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moez Echargui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Moez Echargui Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Echargui will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 212. Echargui is ranked ATP: 175.

Pacheco Mendez is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Echargui is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Echargui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Echargui will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Etienne Donnet	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
13.09.25	Mark Lajal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Moez Echargui - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Olle Wallin - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Leo Borg - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Moez Echargui - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Moez Echargui - Dan Added	Added D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWWL?

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Moez Echargui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide