What is the expert prediction for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Bernardo Munk Mesa?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Bernardo Munk Mesa. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Bernardo Munk Mesa Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, January 02, 2026)

Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday


	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini		Bernardo Munk Mesa

	1	2
	2.19	1.6
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
39.5%

Bernardo Munk Mesa
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Bernardo Munk Mesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

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Predictions

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 0:2

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Preview

Baragiola Mordini is ranked ATP: 1643. Munk Mesa is ranked ATP: 1375.

Recent performances by Baragiola Mordini have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Munk Mesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Munk Mesa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
ITF Tournaments
01.01.26	Pierre Ngijol Carre - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	0:2 ✺
31.12.25	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Hugo Cardinaud	Cardinaud H. retired ✺
25.12.25	Felipe Virgili Berini - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:0 ✺
23.12.25	Yannik Kelm - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Gabriele Bosio - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W?LWL
- Bernardo Munk Mesa
ITF Tournaments
01.01.26	Bernardo Munk Mesa - Daniil Sarksian	2:0 ✺
31.12.25	Victor Paganetti - Bernardo Munk Mesa	0:2 ✺
24.12.25	Bernardo Munk Mesa - Manas Manoj Dhamne	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Bernardo Munk Mesa	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Bernardo Munk Mesa - Alex Martinez	Martinez A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLL?

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Bernardo Munk Mesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide