Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 SANTO DOMINGO DE LOS TSACHILAS 2 (ECUADOR), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 April 2023, Wednesday


	Tobias Franco		Kousuke Ogura

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	2.05	1.7
	2.05	1.72
	2	1.73
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	3.7	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobias Franco
41.4%

Kousuke Ogura
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobias Franco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobias Franco than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tobias Franco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kousuke Ogura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Franco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ogura is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Franco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ogura will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobias Franco
ITF Tournaments
06.04.23	Franco Roncadelli - Tobias Franco	2:0 ✺
05.04.23	Tobias Franco - Fernando Yamacita	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Tobias Franco - Nicolas Buitrago	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Tobias Franco - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	0:2 ✺
08.03.23	Nicolas Parizzia - Tobias Franco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLL
- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
07.04.23	Kousuke Ogura - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
06.04.23	Kousuke Ogura - Nicolas Buitrago	2:1 ✺
05.04.23	Ezekiel Clark - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
16.03.23	Kousuke Ogura - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
15.03.23	Kousuke Ogura - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWWLW

Tobias Franco - Kousuke Ogura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide