Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday


	Toby Alex Kodat		Lorenzo Rottoli

	1	2
	1.25	3.5
	1.24	3.57
	1.25	3.65
	1.26	3.65
	1.22	4
	1.28	3.43	Watch
	1.22	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.36)	3.64 ↑ (2.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Alex Kodat
74.5%

Lorenzo Rottoli
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Alex Kodat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toby Alex Kodat's performance.

Lorenzo Rottoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Rottoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Alex Kodat than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toby Alex Kodat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Rottoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Rottoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kodat is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Alex Kodat
ATP Challenger
11.05.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Jiri Vesely	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Henrique Rocha - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Clement Chidekh	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Maxime Janvier - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL
- Lorenzo Rottoli
ITF Tournaments
13.05.24	Lorenzo Rottoli - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Alessandro Giannessi - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Michael Geerts - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Michael Geerts - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Mili Poljicak - Lorenzo Rottoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW

Toby Alex Kodat - Lorenzo Rottoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide