Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday


	Tom Gentzsch		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.66	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.25)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Gentzsch
34%

Jack Pinnington Jones
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Gentzsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tom Gentzsch's form might have worsened.

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Pinnington Jones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tom Gentzsch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Pinnington Jones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tom Gentzsch - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 283. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 196.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Pinnington Jones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pinnington Jones will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tom Gentzsch - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
15.01.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Tom Gentzsch - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Tom Gentzsch - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Johannus Monday - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Martin Krumich - Tom Gentzsch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLW
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	James McCabe - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Marc Polmans - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWW

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