Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Jack Pinnington Jones		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.21
	1.57	2.34	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.32	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Pinnington Jones
58.6%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jack Pinnington Jones - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bailly will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pinnington Jones (votes: 3 - 60%). Bailly (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 201. Bailly is ranked ATP: 205.

Bailly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pinnington Jones won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	James McCabe - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Marc Polmans - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWL
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
03.01.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.11.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.01.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2

Jack Pinnington Jones - Gilles Arnaud Bailly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide