Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday


	Tom Paris		Alfredo Perez

	1	2
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.64	2.18
			Watch
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	1.63	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)	2.16 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Paris
56.8%

Alfredo Perez
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Paris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tom Paris's performance.

Alfredo Perez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfredo Perez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Paris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfredo Perez than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfredo Perez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Tom Paris - Alfredo Perez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tom Paris will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paris is ranked ATP: 450. Perez is ranked ATP: 498.

Two players are playing changeable.

Perez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Paris
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Tom Paris - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Jurij Rodionov - Tom Paris	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Tom Paris - Elijah Strode	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Tom Paris - Isaiah Strode	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.25	Alexey Vatutin - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL
- Alfredo Perez
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Alfredo Perez - Stefan Dostanic	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Elijah Strode - Alfredo Perez	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Alfredo Perez - Tyler Zink	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Andres Andrade - Alfredo Perez	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Brandon Perez - Alfredo Perez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWW

Tom Paris - Alfredo Perez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide